"Let men be wise by instinct if they can, but when this fails be wise by good advice." -Sophocles
Showing posts with label Brookings Institution. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Brookings Institution. Show all posts

Monday, July 30, 2007

Times Surge of Truth Refreshing

Stop the presses! The New York Times, far and away the most virulent anti-Bush, anti-war news organization in America, today published an Op/Ed piece that actually debunked that paper’s own daily headlines of doom and gloom news from Iraq.

In a contribution co-authored by Michael O’Hanlon and Kenneth Pollack, Brookings Institution fellows and no fans of the Bush administration, the pair presented a region by region analysis of the results so far of General Petraeus’ surge strategy, which finally reached full operational strength in June. Congressional Democrats and defecting (perhaps defective?) Republicans call for troop withdrawals and insist that defeat is inevitable, but O’Hanlon and Pollack, who spent eight days meeting with troops, military leaders, and Iraqi leaders, came to a far different conclusion about progress in Iraq than Harry Reid, Nancy Pelosi, and presidential candidate Barack Obama.

I recommend reading the Op/Ed piece in its entirety, as it contains descriptions of progress that never garner any attention from major media outlets bent on reporting only suicide bombings or IED incidents that add to the death toll. The cynical nature of Iraq War news reporting offered by the traditional networks belies the truth of what is actually occurring in Iraq’s cities and villages: The country is becoming more secure, and the U.S. military has been infused with high morale. The following analysis of conditions in Iraq will surprise the “impeach Bush” crowd, much as it did the authors themselves:
Here is the most important thing Americans need to understand: We are finally getting somewhere in Iraq, at least in military terms. As two analysts who have harshly criticized the Bush administration’s miserable handling of Iraq, we were surprised by the gains we saw and the potential to produce not necessarily “victory” but a sustainable stability that both we and the Iraqis could live with.

After the furnace-like heat, the first thing you notice when you land in Baghdad is the morale of our troops. In previous trips to Iraq we often found American troops angry and frustrated — many sensed they had the wrong strategy, were using the wrong tactics and were risking their lives in pursuit of an approach that could not work.

Today, morale is high. The soldiers and marines told us they feel that they now have a superb commander in Gen. David Petraeus; they are confident in his strategy, they see real results, and they feel now they have the numbers needed to make a real difference.

Everywhere, Army and Marine units were focused on securing the Iraqi population, working with Iraqi security units, creating new political and economic arrangements at the local level and providing basic services — electricity, fuel, clean water and sanitation — to the people. Yet in each place, operations had been appropriately tailored to the specific needs of the community. As a result, civilian fatality rates are down roughly a third since the surge began — though they remain very high, underscoring how much more still needs to be done.

We traveled to the northern cities of Tal Afar and Mosul…. American troop levels in both cities now number only in the hundreds because the Iraqis have stepped up to the plate. Reliable police officers man the checkpoints in the cities, while Iraqi Army troops cover the countryside.

The authors rightfully conclude from their observations in Iraq that while Iraq’s government must achieve solidarity and work with more urgency for its own survival, the undeniable fact is that General Petraeus’ surge strategy is working, and working impressively. They further credit Petraeus for ending the “whack-a-mole” security situation in many parts of Iraq that existed previously. The “Whack-a-mole” issue has been a complaint of U.S. soldiers through much of the war, because regions were formerly only temporarily secured by minimum force levels, and once American troops moved on to other more intense fighting, insurgents and al-Qaeda recruits would pop up again in the previously secure areas. This usually meant that our troops would be forced to return and re-secure those areas. Under Petraeus’ leadership, regions are held until they are actually secure before troops move on to clear other regions of insurgents and terrorists.

Bush administration critics should consider that the results observed by these two Brookings fellows have occurred in a relatively short period, and are increasing in momentum now that the surge force has reached full staffing levels. War opponents were looking with eager anticipation for Petraeus’ surge report due in September. They were certain there would be ample evidence in the report to justify their advocacy of troop withdrawals by April 2008, however this early report of surge success, coming as it did from two consistent critics of President Bush’s handling of the Iraq War, should throw some much needed water on the “impeach Bush” bonfire.

The Times deserves praise for providing its readers with O’Hanlon’s and Pollack’s Op/Ed report of the successes of the surge thus far. Although the pair included a mild disclaimer that “victory” may not be possible, they clearly saw potential for a “sustainable stability.” Such an achievement of stability would indeed constitute victory, as stability would permit the Iraqis to solidify their democratically elected government and develop the resources needed to defend themselves from foreign influences with ulterior motives for Iraq’s future. A “sustained stability” would further alleviate the need for full U.S. troop deployment in Iraq, as our soldiers could eventually assume an advisory/training role rather than performing actual regional security sweeps.

Surge critics will find it increasingly difficult to justify their opposition to Petraeus and the Bush administration when similar reports of success become available in the media. Americans are confident of our armed forces and know that good news is always just around the corner when our soldiers are committed to action. The surge strategy appears to have helped the Iraqis turn some important corners, and they are now more actively engaged in their own security and counterterrorism operations than ever before. That is good news for America, Iraq, and the free world. Hopefully the Times will continue to search for and publish the successes of the surge strategy with fervor equal to its reports of perceived Bush administration failures.

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Tuesday, February 20, 2007

6 Arab Nations Surveyed: "Moderate" Islamic Scholar Praises Suicide Bombers, Blames America for Terrorism

According to a Zogby International survey conducted in 6 Middle Eastern nations for the Brookings Institution, the consensus among Arabs is a yawner: America is to blame for terrorist attacks and the increase of Islamic extremism. Cybercast News Service further reported that according to the survey anti-American sentiment is on the rise in Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Egypt, Morocco, Lebanon, and the United Arab Emirates, the six nations surveyed. While the increase in anti-Americanism comes as no surprise, some of the other survey results deserve consideration.

To set the context, the survey results were presented at the U.S.-Islamic Forum held in Doha, Qatar. Ostensibly it was intended to be a conference to discuss relations between the U.S. and Islam, but due to the attendance of and remarks delivered by several highly influential Islamic figures, it regressed into a "blame America" session in which responsibility for terrorist murders was heaped upon Israel, the U.S. and England, in that order, with none ascribed to the terrorists themselves.

One of the prinicple speakers, Sheikh Yusuf al-Qaradawi, a Sunni scholar considered as the spiritual leader of the Muslim Brotherhood and a resident of Qatar, made a remarkable assertion, one that echoes the talking points of the anti-war movement within the U.S. According to al-Qaradawi, the U.S. had gone searching for "an alternative enemy" after the Soviet Union crumbled. According to Al-Qaradawi, "The U.S. has initiated the animosity when the neoconservatives chose Islam as an alternative enemy." Let's examine that statement. What is the Arabic term for "neoconservative"? Is it any wonder that conservatives accuse liberals of siding with our enemies when those enemies use the same phrases and descriptive names (like Neocon) in their rants against America? Did America go looking for war after the first World Trade Center bombing in 1993? After the Embassy bombings in Tanzania and Kenya? After the bombing of the USS Cole? Based on historical fact, it would seem radical Islam came looking for war, not America. Even a hyper tolerant, suicidally permissive society must at some point strike back, and 9/11 demanded a response that should have been made nearly a decade earlier.

According to al-Qaradawi's website, he is a voice of moderation, this despite his consistent defense of suicide bombings as an acceptable and encouraged practice among "oppressed" Muslims. These are the words of a "moderate" Islamic scholar who is featured frequently on Al-Jazeera network:



Allah Almighty is just; through his infinite wisdom he has given the weak a weapon the strong do not have and that is their ability to turn their bodies into bombs as Palestinians do," Qaradawi told BBC television in 2004, adding during a press conference around the same time that suicide bombings are "weapons to which the weak resort in order to upset the balance because the powerful have all the weapons that the weak are denied.


Of great interest were the survey results that identified the nations and leaders most despised (feared as a threat) and most admired by the 6 Arab nations surveyed.

In summary, the most despised leaders were:
1. Former Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon (in a coma since 2006)
2. President Bush
3. British Prime Minister Tony Blair

The most despised nations (actually phrased as biggest threat to Arabs) were:
1. Israel
2. The U.S.
3. Great Britain

Most admired world figures:
1. Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah (leader of the terrorist group Hizballah)
2. French President Jacque Chirac
3. Iranian President Ahmadinejad
4. Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez

It is fascinating that Jacque Chirac was more admired than Ahmadinejad and Chavez, given that one is thumbing his nose at the West and developing nuclear weapons, and the other publicly stated in the U.N. General Assembly that he could still smell the stench of President Bush's evil in the room after the President had spoken and departed. Apparently France's refusal to join the coalition assembled for the Iraq War is a cherished memory in the Arab world.

There was some good news from the conference, however. Sheikh al-Qaradawi provided the long-elusive solution to the War on Terror: "If America changed its policy [conquering the world by force], we would change our attitudes." Amazing how similar are the talking points and conclusions of terror supporters and our own liberal left. "If we would just withdraw from Iraq, they would stop hating us." "If we would stop supporting Israel, they would stop hating us." "If we weren't so brazenly immoral they would not want to kill us." All of these have been put forth as solutions for the spread of Islamic terrorism by the American liberal left and even by some well-meaning but ultimately misguided souls on the right (D'Souza comes to mind).

Terrorism cannot be stopped by appeasing it, counseling with it, or seeking to understand its root causes, since according to radical Islam the justification is in the Quran regardless of the socio-political climate. It can only be stopped by destroying those who practice it, harbor it, and fund it. That is why Chirac is so popular, as he has attempted none of these. The Arab world clearly wants more leaders like him in power in the West, and influenced Spain's elections accordingly with pre-election bombings. Will they need to resort to that here? If voting trends continue, they will get their wish without further attacks on American soil.